Data Sample – 78,667 No
Based on a survey conducted by Humari Baat through various online and offline modes, here is the exit poll survey result of Lok Sabha 2024 elections. Will the development model of India during the last ten years by the Modi government ensure the 400 Par Narrative of BJP? Or will the Indi Alliance win the majority?
Narendra Modi led BJP Party strongly campaigned for southern India. It has proven to be remarkable.
There are a total of 25 seats in Andhra Pradesh. Yuvajana Sramika Rythu Congress Party, Indian National Congress, TDP, Bhartiya Janta Party and others are fighting over these seats. TDP and BJP are fighting together under NDA.
YSRCP – 5 Seats
TDP – 14 Seats
INC – 0
BJP – 6 seats
Another region from the South that needs discussion is Telangana. The 17 seats of the state are being fought between BJP, Indi Alliance, BRS and AIMIM. As per the survey
Many political analysts feel that The 28 lok sabha seats are the deciding factor whether people are competent with the present Congress Party led State Government of Karnataka. It is a direct contest between BJP, Congress and JDS. Even after being home of Mallikarjun Kharge, it is not benefiting the congress at all.
A total of 20 seats belonged to either UDF or LDF. While UDF belongs to Congress and LDF belongs to communist party. This time BJP under the strong campaigning of PM Modi is contesting from Kerala.
The result on 39 Tamil Nadu Lok Sabha seats will answer many questions. Will Dravid Political inclination still be the deciding factor for victory? How does South Indian politics stand with The Hindutva and emergence of Annamalai? As far as exit poll is concerned
BJP is also winning ONE seat from Puducherry
NDA is going to perform really well in the South but the INDI alliance is still leading in the South.
| Southern India | Probability of winning seats | Total Seats – 129 |
| NDA | 17 + 9 + 20 + 1 + 2 | 57 |
| Indi Alliance | 6 + 6 + 15 + 31 | 58 |
| Others | 14 |
This region includes West Bengal, Odisha, Assam, Bihar, Jharkhand and other North Eastern States.
Odisha has been the fort of Naveen Patnaik. BJD under his ruling is the leading state government. As per the local community of Odisha, they are seeking change in odisha. It is also affecting 21 Odisha seats of Lok Sabha Elections in the state.
One state in which the entire team of the BJP worked very hard to win more seats is West Bengal. Mamta Banarjee from TMC too has made immense effort to defend BJP. Bad karmas of the ruling Government like mobility with women in Sandeshkhali, allowing illegal migrants from Bangladesh resulted in decreased vote share of TMC. Here Left is with INC. West Bengal has 42 seats.
Hemant Biswa Sharma has taken Assam to next level and this is evident from exit poll survey. Assamese are highly influenced by him and like the deliverance of Biswa Government.
Other North Eastern states
Nitish Kumar just few months before elections left Indi Alliance and joined NDA. Along with BJP and JDU, Paswan’s LJP jointly contested against Indi Alliance. RJD HAM and Congress together formed Indi Alliance in Bihar. Total Seats – 40.
Due to rising issues with former Jharkhand CM Hemant Soren, Jharkhand people clearly showed single handed interest in BJP. The 14 seats of Jharkhand shows following trend
| Eastern India | Probability of winning seats | Total Seats = 142 |
| NDA | 17 + 22 + 10 + 6 + 34 + 12 | 101 |
| Indi Alliance | 1 + 2 +2 +2 + 5 + 2 | 14 |
| Others | 3 + 18 +2+3 + 1 | 27 |
The central region of India includes 2 major states that are Madhya Pradesh Chhattisgarh. Both States are strong regions ruled by Bhartiya Janata Party. What does the Exit Poll say about central India? Have a look!
As per the survey done, BJP is likely to get a clean sweep on all the seats of Chhattisgarh. Congress has least chances of winning from Chhattisgarh. Total Seats – 11.
The same connotation is prevalent in the 29 seats of Madhya Pradesh since
| Central India | Probability of winning seats | Total Seats = 40 |
| NDA | 11 + 28 | 39 |
| Indi Alliance | 1 | 1 |
Western part of India includes 4 major States that include Rajasthan Gujarat Maharashtra and Goa.
In 2019 Bhartiya Janata Party was with Shiv Sena and due to Chief Minister controversy Uddhav Thackeray left NDA, made its collaboration with Congress and NCP. Shiv Sena NCP and Congress made the state government making Uddhav as the CM. After a while Shivsena collapsed due to the revolt from Eknath Shinde and many MLAs. The collapse of Shivsena favoured Bhartiya Janata Party and with Eknath Shinde Shiva, BJP made Government in Maharashtra. Not only Shiv Sena but NCP collapsed when Ajeet Pawar left Sharad Pawar. Now BJP, Ek Nath Shinde Shiv Sena and Ajeet Power led Nationalist Congress Party jointly contesting on 48 Lok Sabha seats in Maharashtra against Indi Alliance having INC, NCP Sharad Pawar and Uddhav Thackeray’s Shiv Sena.
Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Gujarat is still an undisputed territory of the National Democratic Alliance. So, Gujarat collectively has 26 seats and BJP is going to win all.
Recently Bharatiya Janata Party has shown very good performance in the last assembly elections of Rajasthan, and you read the survey the people of Rajasthan are within to see Narendra Modi as sole prime Minister of India. Total Seats – 25
| Western India | Probability of winning seats | Total Seats = 101 |
| NDA | 29 + 26 + 2 + 22 | 79 |
| Indi Alliance | 19 + 3 | 22 |
| Others | 0 |
The northern region of India includes Jammu Kashmir, Ladakh, Himachal Pradesh Punjab, Chandigarh, Haryana, Delhi, Uttarakhand and Uttar Pradesh.
Delhi has 7 seats
Recently BJP has shut down its collaboration with jjp which was led by Dushyant Chautala. Farmer protest has made a minor impact on the farmers and Jat voters. But when we talk to the Haryanvi people they are favouring BJP in the centre but are willing to avoid BJP in the state. Most of the people are not satisfied with the Khattar government. Since Haryanvi voters are well aware they do know the importance of Narendra Modi in the centre Hence majority of people are favouring Narendra Modi. Haryana has 10 Lok Sabha seats
People of Chandigarh are not that much happy with the working of former BJP MP Kirron Kher but they are finally having interest in present BJP Candidate – Sanjay Tandon because of his belongingness to the city. On other hand Manish Tiwari who is contesting on the Congress seat is an educated and intelligent candidate. The competition between the two candidates is very tough.
Punjab is another tough region for Punjab Bhartiya Janata Party. The major reason is the farmers protest. Many people from the state do not forget the troubles that occurred during the protest. Urban Punjab is favoring either Congress or BJP while Rural Punjab is favoring SAD or AAP. Total Seats in Punjab are 13.
Due to the internal rift between Sukhu and Raja Family, people are majorly inclined towards BJP. But There is tough fight between Kangana and Vikramaditya Singh, still Kangana has little edge over Vikramaditya.
Jammu and Kashmir has 5 seats
Ladhak
The land of gods, Uttarakhand, has five Lok Sabha constituencies. Under the vibrant leadership of the current CM, Pushkar Dhami, the state is satisfied with CM’s working as shown by exit poll surveys.
The state with the maximum number of seats Uttar Pradesh is nowadays emerging as one of the fastest growing states in the country due to immense hard work of CM Yogi Adityanath. Total Seats – 80.
| Northern India | Probability of winning seats | Total Seats = 126 |
| NDA | 5 + 6 + 1 + 3 + 4 + 2 + 5+69 | 95 |
| Indi Alliance | 2 + 4 + 6 + 3+ 3 +1+10+1 | 30 |
| SAD | 1 | 1 |
| Others |
Puducherry – 1 (Congress may win)
Daman & Due – 1 (BJP may win)
Dadra and Nagar Haveli – 1 (BJP)
Lakshadweep – 1 (Congress)
Andaman Nicobar Islands – 1 (Congress)
Humari Baat – Exit poll of 2024 Lok Sabha Elections
| Parties | Total Seats = 543 |
| NDA | 374 |
| Indi Alliance ( With TMC) | 145 |
| Others | 24 |
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